Is there a silver lining for Mexico?
可以肯定的是，豬流感使墨西哥的旅游業(yè)受到了極大的震動，以致于將會在經(jīng)濟(jì)層面產(chǎn)生很多問題（當(dāng)然，最近的不景氣也和商業(yè)經(jīng)濟(jì)周期有關(guān)）。但是豬流感的產(chǎn)生沒有更為本質(zhì)性的原因呢？
To be sure, tourism to Mexico is devastated and the country will suffer many economic problems (yes, real business cycle theory still is relevant these days). But is there any upside?
我猶豫了很久，這樣下結(jié)論是不是太早，但是在某種程度上，墨西哥政府的一些做法給我留下了深刻的印象，至少在國家層面上講，已經(jīng)給了答復(fù)。墨西哥醫(yī)療體系存在很多問題，在地方一級有一些事情是應(yīng)該引起得起注意的：a）許多問題的根源在于當(dāng)?shù)氐木用癫辉敢馊タ瘁t(yī)生或者是不會去看不是黃教巫醫(yī)的醫(yī)生。b）太多的墨西哥人自己使用抗生素。c）空氣污染已經(jīng)嚴(yán)重到讓人很難發(fā)現(xiàn)流感事件『估計是幾乎很多人都有呼吸道方面的疾病』，特別是在流感高發(fā)期。但是墨西哥的報告制度似乎相當(dāng)迅速的發(fā)現(xiàn)了一例非典型流感。
I hesitate to speak too soon but I'm actually somewhat impressed by how the Mexican government, at least at the national level, has responded. There have been many failures of Mexican health care systems at local levels but keep a few things in mind: a) some of the problems lie with citizens who won't go see doctors, or who won't go see non-shaman doctors, b) too many Mexicans self-administer antibiotics, and c) when there is so much air pollution it is harder to discover flu cases, especially in the midst of flu season there. Nonetheless Mexican reporting systems seem to have discovered an unusual flu fairly promptly.
當(dāng)這個國家發(fā)現(xiàn)流感在蔓延，在沒有引過度的恐慌前，他們果斷的采取行動。有幾點是不可以被否認(rèn)的，一個共同的特點在先前提到的健康危機(jī)中（想想，美國用了多久才發(fā)現(xiàn)艾滋病？）。沒有人認(rèn)為墨西哥政府會是一個香蕉政府（政治不穩(wěn)定，經(jīng)濟(jì)上外國跨國公司占主導(dǎo)地位的國家）或者是一個問題集合體亦或者考慮率下加拿大政府將會做的更好。
Once the national government discovered what is going on, they acted decisively and without undue panic. There has been very little denial, a common feature in the early stages of health crises (how long was it until the U.S. government acknowledged AIDS?). No one is treating the Mexican federal government like a banana republic or a basket case or thinking that the Canadian government would have done so much better.
我錯了嗎？難道這一幕在長期的運作中會把墨西哥變成發(fā)達(dá)國家？難道墨西哥政府不需要自我反省一下，至少是在部分能力方面？
時間會說明一切。
Am I wrong? Could this episode in the longer run bring Mexico closer to the community of developed nations? Might Mexicans now be more likely to self-identify with a government that is at least partially competent?
Time will tell.
可以肯定的是，豬流感使墨西哥的旅游業(yè)受到了極大的震動，以致于將會在經(jīng)濟(jì)層面產(chǎn)生很多問題（當(dāng)然，最近的不景氣也和商業(yè)經(jīng)濟(jì)周期有關(guān)）。但是豬流感的產(chǎn)生沒有更為本質(zhì)性的原因呢？
To be sure, tourism to Mexico is devastated and the country will suffer many economic problems (yes, real business cycle theory still is relevant these days). But is there any upside?
我猶豫了很久，這樣下結(jié)論是不是太早，但是在某種程度上，墨西哥政府的一些做法給我留下了深刻的印象，至少在國家層面上講，已經(jīng)給了答復(fù)。墨西哥醫(yī)療體系存在很多問題，在地方一級有一些事情是應(yīng)該引起得起注意的：a）許多問題的根源在于當(dāng)?shù)氐木用癫辉敢馊タ瘁t(yī)生或者是不會去看不是黃教巫醫(yī)的醫(yī)生。b）太多的墨西哥人自己使用抗生素。c）空氣污染已經(jīng)嚴(yán)重到讓人很難發(fā)現(xiàn)流感事件『估計是幾乎很多人都有呼吸道方面的疾病』，特別是在流感高發(fā)期。但是墨西哥的報告制度似乎相當(dāng)迅速的發(fā)現(xiàn)了一例非典型流感。
I hesitate to speak too soon but I'm actually somewhat impressed by how the Mexican government, at least at the national level, has responded. There have been many failures of Mexican health care systems at local levels but keep a few things in mind: a) some of the problems lie with citizens who won't go see doctors, or who won't go see non-shaman doctors, b) too many Mexicans self-administer antibiotics, and c) when there is so much air pollution it is harder to discover flu cases, especially in the midst of flu season there. Nonetheless Mexican reporting systems seem to have discovered an unusual flu fairly promptly.
當(dāng)這個國家發(fā)現(xiàn)流感在蔓延，在沒有引過度的恐慌前，他們果斷的采取行動。有幾點是不可以被否認(rèn)的，一個共同的特點在先前提到的健康危機(jī)中（想想，美國用了多久才發(fā)現(xiàn)艾滋病？）。沒有人認(rèn)為墨西哥政府會是一個香蕉政府（政治不穩(wěn)定，經(jīng)濟(jì)上外國跨國公司占主導(dǎo)地位的國家）或者是一個問題集合體亦或者考慮率下加拿大政府將會做的更好。
Once the national government discovered what is going on, they acted decisively and without undue panic. There has been very little denial, a common feature in the early stages of health crises (how long was it until the U.S. government acknowledged AIDS?). No one is treating the Mexican federal government like a banana republic or a basket case or thinking that the Canadian government would have done so much better.
我錯了嗎？難道這一幕在長期的運作中會把墨西哥變成發(fā)達(dá)國家？難道墨西哥政府不需要自我反省一下，至少是在部分能力方面？
時間會說明一切。
Am I wrong? Could this episode in the longer run bring Mexico closer to the community of developed nations? Might Mexicans now be more likely to self-identify with a government that is at least partially competent?
Time will tell.